Russell Wilson QB Seattle Seahawks : DraftKings - $6,300
So it boggles my mind a little bit that Wilson is available for such a modest price this week being that he is playing in a primetime matchup on Sunday night, against a reeling Panthers defense, following a loss where they are going to be playing with a chip on their shoulder. Last week Wilson threw 2 picks (which matches what he threw the rest of the season combined) and had his lowest completion percentage of the season and there is no way either of those things happen this weekend against Carolina. I think that he piles up just under 300 yards with 2-3 scores this week while chipping in about 50 yards on the ground.
Drew Brees QB New Orleans Saints : Draftkings - $7,600
With an over/under sitting right around 54 this should be the fantasy game of the week. The only surefire way to know you’ve got the right piece is to start one of the quarterbacks. Both QB’s spread it around a good bit so spend a little more and take Drew Brees at home. He’ll probably throw 4 TD’s and you’ll be able to enjoy not caring who he throws them to with this investment.
Theo Riddick RB Detroit Lions: DraftKings - $5,800
The Detroit Lions have certainly not emphasized much on the run throughout the year, but that is certainly not by design. Multiple injuries from the get go have slowed that aspect of their game and I don’t think that will change much in this weeks matchup with the New Orleans Saints. Why am I recommending a Lions back this week you ask? Well because Theo Riddick is a different style of back more in the mold of Darren Sproles who is an elusive pass catcher out of the backfield. The Lions will have to air it out early and often this week to keep up with the Saints high powered offense and Riddick will be a big part of that from the first snap to the last. 40-45 yards on the ground this week to go along with 5-7 receptions for 55-65 yards and a score are what I see on the horizon.
Jeremy Hill RB Cincinnati Bengals : Draftkings - $4,300
The matchup isn’t great but the price is for the guaranteed touches. Hill proved last week he can be a viable option in the passing game and should continue to dominate touches out the backfield this week. He had 18 touches last week including 6 receptions (don’t forget DK is PPR!) Many will steer clear of Hill after last week’s low rushing total so consider him my contrarian pick of the week.
Sammy Watkins, WR Buffalo Bills: DraftKings - $5,500
There were certainly questions about how explosive Watkins would be when he was able to get back on the field and he answered those pretty quickly last week against the Jacksonville Jaguars hauling in 3 catches for 80 yards on a limited snap count. This week he gets a week Oakland Raiders secondary and more than likely an increased snap count along with a heavier dose of targets. The Bills have a pretty balanced offensive attack so Watkins could get quite a bit of room to operate and he should flourish from this. Add in the fact that they will be in a shootout with the Raiders high powered offense and Watkins could eclipse the 100 yard mark with a score in no time. Start him with confidence this week.
Julio Jones WR Atlanta Falcons : DraftKings - $8,700
Look I know you don’t need to be told to start Julio Jones but… start Julio Jones! He’s coming off a terrible game but he now faces a terrible defense against San Francisco. This could be a signature monster game for Julio and should prove to be a $8,700 well spent by close of business Sunday.
Vance McDonald, TE San Francisco 49ers : DraftKings - $2,900
I have had a hard time deciding who my value play is this week at the tight end position and against a lowly Bears defense Vance seems to be the one that stands out. With his daily cost being low and his quarterbacks trust he could easily land himself in the top 5 at the position this week. 60-70 yards on 5-6 receptions with a score is certainly not out of the question and if I can get that kind of return on such a low investment I am taking that all the way to the bank.
C.J. Fiedorowicz TE Houston Texans: DraftKings - $3,800
Green Bay is pretty leaky against opposing tight ends having allowed nearly 800 yards and 61 receptions to the position on the year. Both teams need this win to keep pace in their respective divisions so expect some fire works. The fact that Brock Osweiller can’t see outside the hashmarks lends great confidence in the emerging tight end this week in such a nice match up. This a great place to recoup the funds spent on Brees and Julio.
Denver Broncos Defense: DraftKings - $3,900
Highest cost on the board this week but going up against an awful Jacksonville Jaguars offense that has no running game to speak of. Von Miller is licking his chops at the idea of running roughshod over the offensive line of Jacksonville and lighting up Blake Bortles. I see multiple sacks, picks and a defensive TD this week.
New England Patriots Defense: Draftkings - $3,700
I know i lean on the Pats a lot but they just make so much sense! The Rams have shown signs of life but they are coming across the country from sunny L.A. to the bitter north of New England. I expect them to get shutdown Sunday afternoon. With the Browns off this week we’ve got to pick on somebody and the Rams fit the bill.
Kirk Cousins, QB Washington Redskins: DraftKings - $5,800
This is a primetime game with a 51 point over/under and two middling pass defenses at best. You want a piece of this game and a $5,800 quarterback is a great place to save some of that budget! Cousins has averaged 24 Draftings points per game over the last 3 match ups so he’s certainly playing some of his best football lately. Cheap piece of this game and you don’t have to worry about who catches the Touchdowns? Count me in!
Marcus Mariota QB New York Giants : Draftkings - $6,700
The 2nd year Titans QB has been on a tear as of late and will face another weak secondary in Week 11 with the Indianapolis Colts. With Delanie Walker being his normal self and the receiving corps starting to come into their own Mariota’s confidence is at an all-time high. Pair that with an elite ground attack and you have the makings of an up and coming playoff team that should leave the Colts defense beat up and bruised. Mariota is a top 5 play for me this week at a middle of the pack price so start him with confidence.
Legarrette Blount RB New England Patriots : DraftKings - $6,400
The 49er’s have easily been the most generous defense to opposing running backs in 2016 having given up over 1,600 yards and 13 touchdowns. The pats are favored by nearly two full touchdowns in this one so i expect Blount to grind the 9er’s into submission in the second half of this one. Don’t panic when he’s got 36 yards and 1 TD in the first half - he’ll roll up at least 100 yards and score before the day is done, maybe more!
Legarrette Blount RB New England Patriots : DraftKings - $6,400
Coming off a 3 TD performance in week 10 against an elite Seattle Seahawks defense, Blount will get somewhat of a breather against one of the worst defenses against the run (or against anyone) in the NFL with the San Francisco 49ers. While he may not put up 3 scores in week 11 I see him having more room to run so his yardage total should be a bit higher this week. Hitting 85-90 yards on 20 carries with 2 scores would be a nice return on his bargain price this week.
(you read that right, we’re both picking Blount this week lock him in at $6,400!)
Kelvin Benjamin WR Carolina Panthers: DraftKings - $7,300
So Kelvin hasn’t exactly been setting the world on fire but this feels like his week! New Orleans is bottom 5 in pass defense and Kelvin is tied for the team lead in targets with 76. The Saints don’t really have anyone on the defensive side of the ball who can matchup size wise for Benjamin or Olsen so one of them is going to go off - Benjamin is due. With a 52 point over/under this is a game you are going to invest in and grabbing your WR1 in the low 7k range is a nice way to start off your lineup!
Deandre Hopkins Wide Receiver Houston Texans : DraftKings - $6,500
I have been burnt a few times this season with WR matchups against the Raiders, but in primetime this week I see a shootout and Hopkins looking like the receiver managers drafted him to be in season long leagues. The Texans are going to have to throw the ball to keep up with the high-powered Raiders offense so Hopkins should be a target monster. I consider DeAndre a top 10 play this week and with his middle of the road price he could bring back a very favorable return for those willing to take the shot.
Martellus Bennett TE New England Patriots : DraftKings - $3,700
90% chance Gronkowski sits out this one simply because he won’t be needed in this contest. The 49ers are a dumpster fire and Belicheck doesn’t care if he hurts their feelings. Look for Brady and company to light up the scoreboard in the first half and I bet Bennett gets in on the action. The over/under is right at 52 and I’m betting 42 of that will belong to the Patriots. The 49ers haven't been overly generous against opposing tight ends this year but they aren’t anything to shy away from either. I can’t pass on Tom Brady’s biggest target for $3,700 - There are a lot worse tight ends at this price point.
Delanie Walker Tight End Tennessee Titans : DraftKings - $5,700
I am going to be doubling down on the Titans this week with Walker and those that follow should be rewarded. He is by far the best and most trusted receiving option in Tennessee and should produce another top tier performance against a weak Colts secondary. I would not be surprised at all if his numbers look similar to last week when he put up well over 100 yards and a score. Hitch yourself to the Walker train and enjoy the ride.
Miami Dolphins Defense: DraftKings - $2,900
The Rams rank 31st in total offense and just replaced their starting Quarterback with a rookie. I can stop there but lets go on. The dolphins have only given up 2 rushing touchdowns in the past 7 games and Todd Gurley has looked overwhelmed this season as it is. That covers both facets of the Rams “offense” so i think Miami for $2,900 is about as nice as it gets!
New York Giants Defense: DraftKings - $3,500
Now I know they haven’t been the best unit throughout the year, but over the last few weeks the Giants have been starting to pull everything together on the defensive side of the ball. In week 11 they get a floundering Chicago Bears offense that just lost their #1 receiving threat in Alshon Jeffrey for at least the next 4 weeks and are running out who and who as their top 2 wide receivers this weekend. Jay Cutler should be under a lot of pressure this week and I see him hitting the dirt while serving up some softballs to the awaiting Giants secondary.
Carson Wentz, QB Philadelphia Eagles: DraftKings - $5,400
The rookie has certainly had his ups and downs in 2016 and that should be expected to continue throughout the remainder of the season, but a matchup with the Atlanta Falcons this week should be beneficial for the young gunslinger. While the Atlanta Offense is running like a fine tuned machine the defense certainly is not. Giving up just about 300 yards a game to opposing quarterbacks and the fact that the Eagles will have to air it out to keep up with the with the previously mentioned Atlanta offense Wentz should be able to put up QB1 numbers at a very discounted daily value.
Eli Manning QB New York Giants : Draftkings - $5,900
I’m looking for cheap Qb’s this week and Eli fits that bill. Cincinnati has given up 16 touchdowns to opposing passers this year and Eli is fresh off a 4 touchdown game against Philly. He could be heating up at the right time for this Monday night showdown and we know he has big games in him. If AJ Green and Andy Dalton do their thing this one could easily get into a shootout. With all the money You’ll need to spend on Mike Evans Eli gives you a great chance a saving some budget while maintaining upside.
Jordan Howard RB Chicago Bears : DraftKings - $6,000
Another rookie gets my nod in week 10 as he should provide a top 10 possibly top 5 rushing performance against a hapless Tampa Bay defense. The return of Jay Cutler as the Bears signal caller in week 8 seemed to spark an offense that had been sputtering since his injury and Howard was a big benefactor. Defenses now must pay close attention to the deep ball to Alshon Jeffrey and that will allow Howard to see some open lanes from here on out. I don’t see him reaching the 200 plus total yards this week, but 125 yards and a score is not out of the question.
James White RB New England Patriots : Draftkings - $4,500
Little bit of a gut call / contrarian play here but the Seattle defense has given up nearly 300 receiving yards to opposing running backs this year. I expect Blount to get shut down and the Seattle secondary to try their best to take away Gronk and the Wr’s so who does that leave? James White and his high ceiling, thats who. Getting a high upside back in your lineup for under $5k leaves a lot of budget for other positions.
Alshon Jeffrey WR Chicago Bears : DraftKings - $6,600
It almost hurts me to write this but I am throwing out another Chicago Bear this week in Jeffrey. He is a stud without question, but without Cutler running the show he was an afterthought because well…no one could get him the ball. Cutler will at times lock in on Alshon and just about everything will head his way so I see a big target number this week. With the aforementioned Howard breaking off some good runs I see Jeffrey benefiting with some lighter coverage and snagging a score or two in week 10. Top 5 play in my eyes this week.
Mike Evans Tampa By Buccaneers : Draftkings - $9,000
I know he’s expensive, I know I’m recommending him two weeks in a row but this guys has 103 targets and he’s already had his bye week! He’s match up proof but even if he wasn’t Chicago is the nicest pound for pound match up for opposing wide receivers in the NFL. they are even worse than the Falcons who Mike Evans torched for 150 and two TD’s a week ago. spend here, pinch pennies elsewhere.
Zach Ertz TE Philadelphia Eagles : DraftKings - $3,700
Well I am doubling up on Eagles this week too, so what? Last week Carson Wentz finally realized that he had a big, sure handed TE to throw the ball to and Ertz caught 8 of 8 for 97 yards against the New York Giants. Knowing that Ertz is going to be that security blanket is going to drive his value up over the rest of the season as Wentz will be able to develop much more confidence hitting him on some shorter routes. I see similar numbers to last week along with a score and that puts him at the top of his position in week 10.
Dennis Pitta TE Baltimore Ravens : Draftkings - $4,000
I need a reason to watch TNF this week. Seriously, what a terrible matchup? Only the Detroit Lions are worse against opposing Tight ends. The Cleveland defense in all its splendor has given up nearly 600 yards and 6 TD’s to opposing tight ends. Pitts himself accounted for about 18% off that yardage by himself back in week two and is second on the team in targets. Start Pitta with confidence this Thursday night.
Arizona Cardinals Defense: DraftKings - $3,700
I know they are one of the more expensive options this week, but it is all about the matchup. With Carlos Hyde still having a hard time the San Francisco 49ers are going to as well. Not being able to set up a decent ground game they will be forced to go to the air with Colin Kaepernick and that doesn’t scare anyone. Get them in your lineup and expect big things this week.
Green Bay Packers Defense: Draftkings - $3,000
The Titans are in the bottom 5 in the league in turnover differential. The Strength of the Green Bay defense is their run stopping which happens to be the strength of the Titans offense. I like Green Bay to force Mariota to beat them with his arm which I’m not sure he can do without his run support loosening things up. He is fresh off a two pick game so even if he is scoring (which could easily happen) the chance for a pick 6 is always there to balance things out. This one could blow up on me but wth all the money spent of Mike Evans we had to make budget cuts elsewhere.
Jameis Winston, QB Tampa Bay Buccaneers: DraftKings - $6,100
It’s not often that I tout a player two weeks in a row especially after said player wasn’t all that I hyped him up to be in the previous week’s matchup, but I am going to go ahead and do that this week with Winston. With a division rival game at home against the Atlanta Falcons terrible secondary I see Jameis and the Buccaneers repeating the success that they had in week one where Winston threw for 4 touchdowns. The Buccaneers running game is in shambles so they are going to be airing it out all night long and with Winston’s low cost I don’t know that there is a better value at the position this week.
Andrew Luck QB Indianapolis Colts : Draftkings - $6,700
Luck has not scored less than 20 in 4 straight weeks and now draws the revived Green Bay Packers. Packers boast a middling and very torch-able pass defense. Couple that with 54 point over/under and an equally touchable pass colts pass defense and you have a recipe for a shootout. You want a piece of this game and Luck’s price tag is $1,100 less than Aaron Rodgers’ buy and start with confidence!
Terrance West, RB Baltimore Ravens: DraftKings - $4,700
2 weeks of irrelevance and people seem to have forgotten about Terrance west and the numbers he was putting up after taking over the starting job in Baltimore, but that is about to change after week 9. In week 7 he faced one of the league’s most stingy run defenses in the New York Jets and then had a bye in week 8. I expect West to be fully recharged and ready to run all over the pitiful Pittsburgh run defense. I see 19-22 touches this week while putting up 85 to 100 yards and a score.
Charcandrick West RB Kansas City Chiefs : Draftkings - $4,400
We’re rolling out the West brothers this week. Really with all the bye its tough to find better options for the price. DraftKings pricing came out before Ware was pretty much ruled out so West is down in the low 4’s. Given the KC Running back usage this should be a steal. Jacksonville isn’t a dream matchup but its not scary either. They have yielded 9 rushing touchdowns this year so crossing the goal line should be about assured. With Ale Smith out look for the Chiefs to lean on West early and often. He proved last year he can handle the load and I’m sure he’s itching to get back in the action in a significant way!
Stefon Diggs, WR Minnesota Vikings: DraftKings - $5,900
With Sam Bradford still manning the QB position for the Vikings it seems that Diggs just does not get the respect that he is due. The only player that made anything happen against the Bears in week 8 is facing a Detroit Lions secondary that is one of the worst in the league to date and should have no problem creating space for himself all day long. I see his week 8 numbers as his floor with the potential to reach 150 and a score in week 9.
Mike Evans Tampa By Buccaneers : Draftkings - $8,500
I recommended Jody Nelson last week against the Atlanta Secondary and he gave us a respectable 19.4 points. Evans is a good bit younger and faster than Jordy at this juncture and unlike Jordy he is about the only target on his team. In fact, Evans is 2nd in the NFL in targets despite already having his bye week (he trails AJ Green by 2 targets) Evans leads the league in receiving touchdowns and I see no reason to think he won’t score in this one. I don't think Atlanta can stop him so spend the extra cash and start him with confidence this week!
Antonio Gates TE San Diego Chargers : DraftKings - $3,000
I was one of the believers that Gates was on his last leg (pun intended) heading into the 2016 season and Hunter Henry was ready to take over the top TE spot in the Chargers passing attack, but it appears Antonio is not ready to ride off into the sunset just yet. Facing a Tennessee Titans defense that has been susceptible to a pass catching TE I see the big, sure handed Gates hauling in 5-7 receptions for 65-80 yards and a score in week 9.
Kyle Rudolph TE Minnesota Vikings : Draftkings - $4,000
Rudolph is a little steep this week at 4k but the lions stink agains the pass. More specifically they stink against Tight ends having given up a league worst 517 yards and 8 touchdowns. Sam Bradford loves Rudolph who actually leads the team in targets through 8 weeks. This should be a huge game for Rudolph, he’ll be worth the extra budget spent come close of business Monday night.
Buffalo Bills Defense: DraftKings - $2,800
If Russell Wilson was his normal self then I would not be going with the Bills Defense in a primetime matchup, but he is not and the entire Seahawks offense is struggling because of it. Add in the fact that the running game for Seattle is a shell of its former self and you have a recipe for a low scoring and defensive minded battle on Monday night. I see a turnover for points being a big turning point in the game and the Bills might just be on the right side of it.
Kansas City Chiefs Defense: Draftkings - $3,500
Well the Patriots are off this week so I can’t plug them in here like I normally do! The Chiefs really know how to get after the quarterback and have shown some real grit scoring double digit points the past three weeks. their opponents the last three weeks? Oakland, New Orleans, Indianapolis. The jaguars are no where near those three teams offensively and the game is in arrowhead. KC Defense is my start of the week.
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